Monday, May 16, 2011

Muskegon county apportionment from a republican's view

Interesting that the final determining vote was from republican party chairwoman Christina Achterhoff.
Christina's public comment about the 11 district plan “I just feel if this is accepted that I think there will be zero Republicans on the board come 2012,”, was printed in The Chronicle.

Let's see how republicans fared:
This is the 11 commissioner plan that was voted down.
Markel/Waters YES. Tony T/Tony M/Christina Achterhoff NO

http://www.co.muskegon.mi.us/clerk/apportionment/11-1_large_map.pdf
This option is similar to the current districts.
Jager's district essentially intact.
Engle's district essentially intact.
Snider's district essentially intact
Scolnik's district split but the addition of RP shouldn't keep the new district 8 from staying republican.
And the new district 9, "East NS is a potential win for republicans if they attracted a candidate.
Mahoney's very close district 1 remains a possible win.

Possible net republican wins 6/11 54%
Most likely outcome in 2012: 4/11 36%
Current districts:
http://co.muskegon.mi.us/boardofcommissioners/map.htm


District w/Commissioner Name
1 Kenneth Mahoney
2 Alan Jager
3 I. John Snider II
4 James J. Derezinski
5 Marvin R. Engle
6 Lew Collins
7 Scott Plummer
8 Anthony T. Longmire
9 Rillastine R. Wilkins
10 Benjamin E. Cross
11 Robert Scolnik

This is the 9 district plan that was adopted:
Tony T/Tony M/Christina Achterhoff YES  Steve Markel/Nancy Waters NO

http://www.co.muskegon.mi.us/clerk/apportionment/plan_9-3_large_map.pdf
Jager has a tough task in beating Derezinski (yes, Jim has told me he will run again) in Eggleston and he has no name recognition (yet!) in Mooreland/Casnovia. But Derezinski hasn't run a contested election in a long time and Jager's middle name is "giant slayer". Toss up.
Engle's district should stay with Marve. Lou Collins looks like he'll be out.
Snider's not running and the new, expanded (GOP leaning) district will depend on who runs.
Scolnik's district should be safe for a republican.
Mahoney's district adds Blue Lake and Dalton. Both townships voted solidly GOP in 2010. This one stays with the chairman unless a newcomer realizes the opportunity here.

Net possible republican wins: 5/9 55%
Most likely outcome in 2012: 3/9 33%

Feel good programs with no follow up.

These are all authorized programs voted by the Muskegon county commission in a two week span late last year.
None have any follow up requirements to see if they achieved their goals.

2011-19 AUTHORIZE STAFF TO APPLY FOR FUNDS UNDER THE JUSTICE AND MENTAL HEALTH COLLABORATION PROGRAM CPS11/01-01 The Courts and Public Safety Committee recommends, moved by Snider, seconded by Collins, to authorize staff to apply for funds under the Justice and Mental Health Collaboration Program (CFDA #16.745) in the amount of $50,000 with an in-kind match of $12,500 to be provided by the County of Muskegon for planning funds expand programs providing appropriate services for multi-system-involved juveniles with mental illness or co-occurring mental health and substance abuse disorders. Roll Call Ayes: Cross, Derezinski, Engle, Longmire, Chairman Mahoney, Plummer, Scolnik, Vice Chairman Snider, Wilkins, Collins Nays: Jager

2011-20 APPROVE THE ACCEPTANCE OF THE PROJECT SAFE NEIGHBORHOODS GRANT CPS11/01-02 The Courts and Public Safety Committee recommends, moved by Snider, seconded by Collins, to approve the acceptance of the Project Safe Neighborhoods grant in the amount of $21,000 for the purchase of gang activity software through OSSI and Sheriff overtime patrols. Roll Call Ayes: Cross, Derezinski, Engle, Longmire, Chairman Mahoney, Plummer, Scolnik, Vice Chairman Snider, Wilkins, Collins Nays: Jager

2011-23 AUTHORIZE THE COMMUNITY MENTAL HEALTH EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR TO SIGN THE CONTRACT WITH NETSMART NEW YORK, INC., FOR THE CONSUMER CONNECT SOFTWARE HR11/01-03 The Human Resources Committee recommends, moved by Plummer, seconded by Engle, to authorize the Community Mental Health Executive Director to sign the contract with Netsmart New York, Inc., for the Consumer connect software, effective January 1, 2011 through December 31, 2015 at a cost not to exceed $56,050 in Fiscal Year 2011 and $223,011 over the five (5) year period of the contract.

2011-31 AUTHORIZE THE BOARD CHAIR TO SIGN THE AGREEMENT BETWEEN PUBLIC HEALTH MUSKEGON COUNTY AND LAKESHORE COORDINATING COUNCIL FOR SUBSTANCE ABUSE PREVENTION SERVICES HR11/01-11 The Human Resources Committee recommends, moved by Plummer, seconded by Engle, to authorize the Board Chair to sign the agreement between Public Health Muskegon County and Lakeshore Coordinating Council for substance abuse prevention services, subject to final review and approval by Corporate Counsel, in the amount of $120,331.00, effective from October 1, 2010 to September 30, 2011, with no effect on County General Fund. Roll Call Ayes: Derezinski, Engle, Jager, Longmire, Chairman Mahoney, Plummer, Scolnik, Vice Chairman Snider, Wilkins, Collins, Cross Nays: None



2011-35 AWARD THE PROPOSAL FOR A ONE YEAR CONTRAC, TO JAMES T. STOKES TO PROVIDE INTENSIVE CLASSROOM BASED SERVICES WM11/01-04 The Ways and Means Committee Recommends, moved by Collins, seconded by Snider, to award the proposal for a one year contract renewable for up to two additional years based upon performance and the availability of funding, to James T. Stokes to provide intensive classroom based services designed to enhance the life and employability skills of jobseekers with little to no work history who are now entering the labor force. Muskegon County Board of Commissioners January 13, 2011 Full Board 3:30 p.m.

2011-35 AWARD THE PROPOSAL FOR A ONE YEAR CONTRAC, TO JAMES T. STOKES TO PROVIDE INTENSIVE CLASSROOM BASED SERVICES Roll Call Ayes: Engle, Jager, Longmire, Chairman Mahoney, Plummer, Scolnik, Vice Chairman Snider, Wilkins, Collins, Cross, Derezinski Nays: None

2011-36 AWARD THE PROPOSAL FOR A ONE YEAR CONTRACT, TO COMMUNITY ENCOMPASS TO PROVIDE CONSTRUCTION SKILLS TRAINING, WORKPLACE READINESS TRAINING, AND GED ASSISTANCE WM11/01-05 The Ways and Means Committee Recommends, moved by Collins, seconded by Snider, to award the proposal for a one year contract renewable for up to two additional years based upon performance and the availability of funding, to Community enCompass to provide construction skills training, workplace readiness training, and GED assistance for

18 to 21 year old high school dropouts. Roll Call Ayes: Engle, Jager, Longmire, Chairman Mahoney, Plummer, Scolnik, Vice Chairman Snider, Wilkins, Collins, Cross, Derezinski Nays: None

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